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Inbox: It never hurts to draft big guys

Nobody’s running away with this thing

LB Quay Walker and DL Colby Wooden
LB Quay Walker and DL Colby Wooden

Tucker from Belton, TX

The Dunning Kruger effect is where people with limited competence vastly overestimate their abilities. I wonder what we should name the NFL version of that where people with limited information of what is really going on in an organization or with any given play vastly overestimate their expertise and judgment of players?

Oh, I don't know … Insider Inbox?

Keith from Sarasota, FL

No question, just want to thank you for the fantastic job you do every day. I am waiting for Hurricane Milton and it is a nice distraction from all the preparations. I want to wish everyone else in Florida the best in getting through this. God willing we will all be safe in the morning and reading tomorrow's Inbox.

I hope everyone down there is somewhere safe. Please take care.

Thomas from Madison, WI

Any insights into how the Cardinals' offensive line has played so far this year?

That unit lost guard Will Hernandez for the season to a knee injury last week. Big blow for them. Their rushing average is a robust 5.5 per carry, but Murray is a big reason for that – 10.7 per rush for him. I don't have a breakdown of how many of Murray's 23 runs have been scrambles vs. designed runs, though.

Nick from Plainwell, MI

Good morning Insiders! Marvin Harrison Jr. might already be a top 10 WR in this league to some people. He and Murray still seem to be building that chemistry together, but how do you choose when to double cover or shadow a safety over top throughout the game?

I don't think you can do that the whole game. But situationally, you do your best to force the ball to go elsewhere. If you roll a safety over to one side the entire time, either the other safety takes the other deep half, which invites the run, or he's in the box and all targets on his side are single-covered. But situations influence pass-rush calls, too, not just the back end. It's all part of the cat-and-mouse game that plays out every week.

Jeff from Indian Lake, NY

As slippery as Kyler Murray is, I'm thinking we're going to see big game from Rashan Gary. You don't keep talent like that down forever. I'll say a sack and a half, and a pass batted down at the line of scrimmage at a crucial moment. Who would be your pick for a breakout game?

Gary's as good a pick as any. I also have a hunch Carrington Valentine is on the verge of making his presence felt in this defense.

Rick from Trempealeau, WI

Am I the only one still waiting for the offense to bust loose for 40 points? They seem to be simmering and always about ready to boil.

I think it's coming, but I'm willing to be patient.

Ken from Honolulu, HI

Throwing into triple coverage but converting. Wild pick-six to avoid a safety. Going for big play with little time remaining and getting it intercepted (49ers last year and Vikings this year) instead of taking what they give you. Is Jordan Love becoming more like Brett Favre than ARod? Don't get me wrong, I appreciate having Love as QB1, but will maturity teach him to carve up a defense with the game on the line rather than going for the big play?

Wes and I discussed this on Tuesday's "Unscripted." Rodgers took a ton of criticism for playing it too safe. Now everyone's on Love for taking too many chances. It does need to be reined in, and the spots picked more carefully. I agree with your suggestion regarding maturity becoming a helpful tutor. This is once again where I remind everybody that 1½ seasons into his career as a starter, Rodgers was 10-14 with more veteran players around him on offense.

Jeff from Ogden, UT

I love the way Tucker Kraft plays football. That man can make a safety question his career choice.

The last player here I remember creating "business decisions" on the part of defenders was Eddie Lacy.

Jackson from Wausau, WI

Sign me up weekly for a big heaping bowl of Kraft YAC and Cheese. I'll see myself out.

Please do.

Robert from Chandler, AZ

As an old-timer who recalls more stats from the 1950s and 1960s than from recent decades, I want to say how nostalgic X is making me feel for his play at safety: a la Night Train Lane and Willie Wood. The centerfielders of old would come up from behind on many a long pass, arriving at just the last moment to intercept. X seems to be cut in this mold. Are the defensive coaches perhaps giving X more freedom to be a "free" safety than is common in today's schemes?

It was interesting when I studied Williams the whole game for WYMM how often Xavier McKinney was playing near the line of scrimmage. When they say these guys are interchangeable, they're not making it up. It's not as though McKinney is just hanging back in CF all day. He's making these plays with his chances somewhat limited, by design, to keep offenses off-balance. I also want to give a shout out to a live blog commenter from last Sunday who referred to McKinney as a "vulture" back there. I thought that description was rather apropos.

The Green Bay Packers held practice at Clarke Hinkle Field on Wednesday, Oct. 9, 2024.

Mark from Big Bear City, CA

Good morning II, I was just thinking what a plus it is for Javon Bullard and Evan Williams to have a young Xavier McKinney in the room to start their NFL career. Just to be around him on a daily basis.

That's the crazy thing, McKinney's still so young. He just turned 25 during training camp.

Matt from Fitchburg, WI

To stay on the Xavier train, conversely to what was said about quarterbacks spending extra time trying to look him off, what can the Packers do to exploit that? I would imagine that would give the corners more opportunity to bait as well, since the QB wouldn't be looking their way as quickly? Or at the very least, it may give a corner a split-second to catch up on the move the WR made?

I'm not sure I see it that way. Outside of the very best QBs, often being focused on looking guys off can lend itself toward inaccurate passes, which then do present opportunities.

Fariborz from Coppell, TX

One of my favorite players, Eric Stokes, had a gritty fight over the middle trying to knock the ball loose. Do you think this is the beginning of old Stokes coming into form? We need that.

Stokes has had his good moments and some he'd like back, no different than any other corner on this team. I did see him lose his footing on the SoFi turf a couple of times Sunday, which certainly didn't help him and seems fixable.

Mike from Tyler, TX

How do you not have Bullard, Evans, and McKinney on the field for every defensive snap?

Who's Evans? Oh, you must mean Williams. We'll see what Hafley and the coaches decide. Stay tuned.

Amanda from New York, NY

Following up on a Q/A from last week, while Devonte Wyatt being out is not ideal, it was good to see Colby Wooden get some playtime. I seemed to see him flash a few times, and it was good to see him making an impact in WYMM too. It tracked with your thinking that more depth/health was the reason he has been a healthy scratch the last few weeks. Did your view of his play generally corroborate that as well?

Yes. Wooden will contribute when called upon. Wyatt was off to a great start with three sacks and of course the Packers want him back, but depth like Wooden is why it never hurts to draft big guys.

Guy from Hudson, WI

Due to the short stature of Murray, do you have information on the number of tipped passes this year against Arizona by D-lineman? Hands up might be a point of emphasis this week.

I haven't seen any statistics, but your suggestion makes sense.

Bruce from Jackson, WI

Mike, are there any chances the team could hire a defensive consultant (Robert Saleh) for the rest of the season to assist Hafley? I realize the timing couldn't be worse and I can see you shaking your head as you're reading this, but a fan can dream can't he? Repeat after me… "Serenity now." Somebody is going to snap him up, why not the Packers?

First, it sounds like Saleh is (smartly in my opinion) taking the rest of the season off to decompress. He'll be an attractive defensive coordinator candidate in the next hiring cycle. Second, with LaFleur having just hired Hafley to run a new defense, which is just five games in, I'd caution against anything that could be construed as undermining his authority.

Lee from Sullivan, IN

Has there ever been a successful in-season head coaching change? Any team ever fire their coach then make the playoffs? Seems like it just adds to the issues a team already has.

Rich Bisaccia took the Raiders to the playoffs as an interim coach just a few years ago. Bruce Arians took the Colts to the playoffs as an interim coach back in 2012, but that wasn't after a firing. It was due to Chuck Pagano's health.

Abiegail from Santa Clarita, CA

Hi, Mike and Wes! May I ask who's the guy standing between Wayne & Larry in the broadcast booth? Thanks and GPG!

That would be Kregg Shilbauer, who is the broadcast director.

Everett from Le Sueur, MN

What are your thoughts on the NFC North being the only division with all teams over .500?

Nobody's running away with this thing.

Ben from McFarland, WI

Has there ever been an NFL division where all the teams make the playoffs?

It's only been possible since the introduction of the No. 7 seed in 2020. Since then, one division has gotten three of four in each year (AFC North in '20 and '23, NFC West in '21, NFC East in '22) but never all four.

Carl from Onalaska, WI

I'm not a fan of this sometimes replay assist and sometimes not. It just doesn't seem right that sometimes a team has to use a challenge, but sometimes they may not. I would like to see college rules and take it all upstairs instead of coaches having to challenge.

I think it's headed that way eventually. I don't know exactly when, but eventually.

Joe from Bozeman, MT

How is DeShaun Watson still in the NFL?

I think the more appropriate question is how did he get a five-year, fully guaranteed $230M contract? Which was asked plenty at the time.

Dave from Waterford, OH

Hi, Mike. You discussed the idea of "identity" with Ethan in Wednesday's II. Although the game has changed dramatically over the last few decades, there remains an underlying trait evident in most top-notch teams. One might not call it identity, but there is a certain something that all of the championship-caliber squads fall back on, consciously or not. There is usually a physical and mental toughness, that when the moment is big, the assured confidence is discernible. A feature? A quality?

Oh sure, but identity to me defines a way of playing the game that distinguishes a particular squad, not lumps it in with others.

Mutt from Blaine, MN

Loved WYMM. But I must know, does Spoff do his annotations? And if so, am I wrong for starting my "8" at the top right and going counterclockwise while Spoff does top left and clockwise? Inquiring minds want to know.

Ha, somehow I just started writing my 8s that way from the beginning. I remember around middle school age my dad noticing and telling me it was rather odd, but it was too late. I couldn't get myself to change to the "normal" way.

Tom from Saukville, WI

I know the season is less than one-third done, but at this point, which Packers do you believe are playing at a Pro Bowl level?

McKinney, Jayden Reed and Kraft for sure, and I'd maybe throw Zach Tom and Josh Jacobs into the mix as well. Daniel Whelan, too, before a game that wasn't his best last week.

Paul from Barnsley, UK

Which would you rather have right now with 12 games to play? An inconsistent 3-2 team and quarterback but knowing that reducing penalties and mistakes should take the performance to another level, or a 5-0 team probably playing near their best, with a quarterback who hasn't played near this level in his career and having almost blown big leads the past two weeks?

Neither club is a finished product. There remains development ahead for both. I'd say the Vikings played pretty close to their best the first 3½ games, not so much the last 1½. But they found a way regardless. That's the kind of team O'Connell had two years ago when they went 13-4 with vastly different personnel.

Steve from Scranton, PA

Mike, CBS noted the Packers and Rams had the two youngest rosters in the NFL, with GB even a half-year younger than LA. It's truly remarkable to consider where this team is at right now, considering the turnover at literally every position group in the past two years! What Gutey and LaFleur have done is not just build a roster, but establish a program … similar to a college football powerhouse in the sense that young players come in, and get to develop under the tutelage of veteran leaders.

Younger players are more likely to peak in January than older ones. That's part of the idea here.

TK from Grafton, WI

I'll take versatility over identity any day of the week. But especially on Sundays. And Mondays. Occasionally on Thursdays. Oh, and sometimes on Saturdays too.

Happy day ending in Y.

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